Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 242.939466 274.348439 309.409600 351.660553 401.474924 458.682837 529.848659
2024-10-06 195.402597 236.083377 285.627619 351.239587 437.114229 547.503599 703.184123
2024-10-13 165.855307 208.806970 264.016507 341.679363 450.601610 601.897149 835.392574
2024-10-20 147.934750 192.488293 252.314443 340.785834 472.370171 667.946486 995.429296
2024-10-27 129.449848 172.602179 232.470988 324.440080 467.609836 692.179721 1094.204927
2024-11-03 123.296020 168.795417 234.207748 339.018559 510.796039 797.514666 1353.228407
2024-11-10 118.851921 166.732212 237.889817 356.553811 560.954105 923.769673 1686.430682
2024-11-17 110.953790 158.617715 231.307926 356.414844 580.703065 999.447625 1942.236431
2024-11-24 102.142011 148.247241 220.041066 346.828621 581.774234 1039.481400 2132.961096
2024-12-01 94.627933 139.243362 210.052264 338.106386 582.842385 1079.259416 2335.498454
2024-12-08 91.412818 136.775920 210.462513 347.680913 620.248328 1202.226058 2789.875694
2024-12-15 87.060221 132.077660 206.631316 348.931711 641.062292 1293.273504 3196.136301
2024-12-22 81.779537 125.598471 199.429747 343.514358 648.317541 1357.517450 3562.924544
2024-12-29 77.847137 121.119143 195.375600 343.776053 668.085123 1457.800637 4097.335785
2025-01-05 72.902105 114.538238 186.983262 334.411945 664.776153 1498.411624 4450.941729
2025-01-12 69.594059 110.569387 183.007278 333.547723 680.923104 1595.348803 5070.619449
2025-01-19 64.582404 103.280596 172.335009 317.636365 658.841258 1580.280342 5238.175074
2025-01-26 63.796727 103.467030 175.695422 331.827289 712.817976 1802.026848 6579.963279
2025-02-02 63.337394 104.195280 180.128133 348.890571 777.579345 2080.158602 8466.297959
2025-02-09 60.954976 101.216106 177.057422 348.755368 796.847756 2216.508192 9749.940758
2025-02-16 57.768960 96.550485 170.296473 339.427901 789.352706 2258.252210 10521.327705
2025-02-23 54.894214 92.321062 164.141408 330.939493 783.032730 2303.435574 11375.660967
2025-03-02 53.973975 91.757249 165.412027 340.257262 830.013279 2566.713804 14120.560924